Political Violence Map · Situation Monitor

Publication

A country watchlist, not a war diary

This Situation Monitor frames organized political violence the way ACLED’s Conflict Index and UCDP’s three violence types do: deadliness and civilian danger on one axis, and whether a government, a rival armed group, or civilians sit on the other side of the violence. It is a static seed — useful for orientation, not a substitute for those datasets.

NASA Blue Marble Next Generation topography and bathymetry composite of Earth, used as a public-domain locational figure. — NASA Visible Earth, “Blue Marble: Next Generation” with topography and bathymetry (December 2004) — public domain. Locational figure only, not a conflict map. Visible Earth 73909

How UCDP names the violence

State-based

A government is a party. Interstate war and civil war sit here. See the UCDP downloads codebook for the threshold rules.

Non-state

Organized groups fight each other without the state as a party — cartel wars, communal militias, some gang coalitions.

One-sided

Organized actors attack civilians. UCDP keeps this category distinct from battle deaths so civilian targeting is not buried in a war total.

Theaters this watchlist is actually about

These cards describe named armed conflicts on the watchlist. They do not invent death tolls. For theater-level briefings, each card points at one Armed Conflicts page — not the hub homepage.

Russia–Ukraine war

UCDP records this as high-intensity state-based violence after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. This map’s Ukraine and Russia rows are country containers for that interstate war.

Theater briefing: Russia–Ukraine war on Armed Conflicts.

Sudan civil war

Fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces began in April 2023. UN humanitarian agencies describe a displacement crisis of unusual scale; confirm current estimates with UNHCR, IDMC, and OCHA.

Theater briefing: Sudan civil war on Armed Conflicts.

Israel–Gaza war

UCDP’s state-based and one-sided categories both apply to the Israeli–Palestinian conflict’s current phase. Fatality and displacement figures belong to the Gaza Ministry of Health, UN OCHA, and IPC — not to this seed file.

Theater briefing: Israel–Gaza war on Armed Conflicts.

Myanmar civil war

After the 2021 coup, UCDP tracks many dyads among the junta, People’s Defence Forces, and ethnic armed organizations. Restricted access means published event counts are incomplete.

Theater briefing: Myanmar civil war on Armed Conflicts.

Sahel insurgency

JNIM and Islamic State Sahel Province operate across the Mali–Burkina Faso–Niger tri-border. Country rows understate a transnational theater.

Theater briefing: Sahel insurgency on Armed Conflicts.

Eastern DR Congo

M23 and many other armed groups contest the Kivus and Ituri. IDMC and OCHA publish displacement and people-in-need series; this dashboard does not replace them.

Theater briefing: DR Congo M23 conflict on Armed Conflicts.